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资源与能源季刊2017年6月Resources and Energy Quarterly June 2017 资源与能源季刊2017年6月Resources and Energy Quarterly June 2017

资源与能源季刊2017年6月Resources and Energy Quarterly June 2017

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-09
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自2017年3月的《资源和能源季刊》以来,澳大利亚2016-17年的资源和能源出口收入被下调99亿美元(4.6%)至2050亿美元。这一向下修正主要反映了自2017年3月《资源与能源季刊》(Resources and Energy Quarterly)以来,铁矿石价格的下跌早于预期。铁矿石出口收入下调72亿美元至650亿美元。液化天然气的出口收入也被下调了10亿美元,主要原因是一些液化天然气工厂发生了计划外的停产。铁矿石价格下调也是2017 - 18、2018-19年资源能源出口收益下调的主要原因。Ichthys项目(将生产液化天然气和凝析油)预计将推迟启动,以及油价前景向下修正(将影响液化天然气价格前景),也导致了资源和能源出口收入总额向下修正。冶金用煤和铜价格预期向下修正也是2017-18年和2018 - 19年出口收益修正的原因之一。整体而言,2017-18年资源和能源出口收入下调130亿美元至2020亿美元,而2018-19年出口收入下调83亿美元至2000亿美元

Since the March 2017 Resources and Energy Quarterly, the value of Australia’s resources and energy export earnings in 2016–17 has been revised down by $9.9 billion (4.6 per cent) to $205 billion. The downward revision primarily reflects an earlier than expected decline in iron ore prices since the March 2017 Resources and Energy Quarterly. Export earnings for iron ore have been revised down by $7.2 billion to $65 billion. Export earnings have also been revised down for LNG — by $1.0 billion — largely due to unplanned outages at LNG plants. A downward revision to the iron ore price is also the primary reason for the downward revision in resource and energy export earnings in 2017– 18 and 2018–19. An anticipated delay to the start-up of the Ichthys project (which will produce LNG and condensate), and downward revisions to the oil price outlook (which affects the LNG price outlook) also contributed to the downward revisions in total resources and energy export earnings. Downward revisions to the metallurgical coal and copper price outlooks also contributed to the revisions to export earning in 2017–18 and 2018– 19. Overall, resource and energy export earnings in 2017–18 have been revised down by $13 billion to $202 billion, while export earnings in 2018–19 have been revised down by $8.3 billion to $200 billion

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